Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 70.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 11.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a SV Sandhausen win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
