Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
0.39) 
-0.11) 
