SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
44.74% ( 2.86) | 24.19% ( -0.3) | 31.07% ( -2.56) |
| Both teams to score 59.02% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.67% ( 0.46) | 43.33% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.27% ( 0.46) | 65.73% ( -0.46) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 1.46) | 19.54% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( 2.33) | 51.45% ( -2.33) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -1.34) | 26.64% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( -1.81) | 61.88% ( 1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.37)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.12% Total : 44.74% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.42)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.46)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.07% |
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