Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 22.04% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.15%) and 0-1 (8.01%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.17) 
