Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a SC Paderborn win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
