Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.6%) and 1-3 (5.51%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
Nuremberg	Draw	Hamburger SV
33.1% ( 0.97)	21.96% ( 0.12)	44.94% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 68.32% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.45% (

-0.18)

31.55% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.97% (

-0.21)

53.03% (

0.21)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.2% (

0.41)

19.8% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.13% (

0.67)

51.87% (

-0.67)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.19% (

-0.44)

14.81% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.91% (

-0.85)

43.09% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Nuremberg 33.1%

Hamburger SV 44.94%

Draw 21.96%

Nuremberg	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.1%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.96%	1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.09) 3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.94%