Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Hansa Rostock win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.