Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.