Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	SC Paderborn
40.28% ( 0.02)	25.01% ( 0.01)	34.71% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.04% (

-0.04)

45.96% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.73% (

-0.04)

68.27% (

0.03)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

-0.01)

22.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

-0.01)

56.36% (

0.01)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.31% (

-0.03)

25.69% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.39% (

-0.05)

60.61% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 40.28%

SC Paderborn 34.71%

Draw 25.01%

Heidenheim	Draw	SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.28%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01%	1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.71%