Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
0.1) 
-0) 
