SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
32.69% ( 0.02) | 24.68% ( -0.03) | 42.63% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( 0.15) | 44.93% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( 0.15) | 67.28% ( -0.15) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0.09) | 26.4% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% ( 0.12) | 61.57% ( -0.12) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% ( 0.07) | 21.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.01% ( 0.11) | 53.99% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.63% |
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