SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
61.69% ( 0.32) | 19.58% ( -0.01) | 18.73% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 61.38% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.04% ( -0.45) | 33.96% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.18% ( -0.52) | 55.82% ( 0.52) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.34% ( -0.05) | 10.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.48% ( -0.12) | 34.52% ( 0.12) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0.57) | 31.3% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( -0.67) | 67.66% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 61.7% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.58% | 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.43% Total : 18.73% |
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