Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
0.32) 
-0.01) 
