Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.21) 
