Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
