Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 53.11%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 0-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.
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