Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.2) 
