Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 55.48%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
