Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
-0.88) 
0.37) 
