SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
39.24% ( 0.08) | 24.68% ( -0.02) | 36.08% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( 0.1) | 44.25% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( 0.1) | 66.63% ( -0.1) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( 0.09) | 22.47% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( 0.13) | 56.02% ( -0.12) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.02) | 24.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( 0.02) | 58.42% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.24% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 36.08% |
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