SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Haka had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Haka |
42.79% ( -0.03) | 26.93% ( 0.19) | 30.28% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% ( -0.79) | 55.23% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% ( -0.66) | 76.46% ( 0.66) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( -0.37) | 25.55% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% ( -0.51) | 60.42% ( 0.51) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.53) | 33.2% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( -0.59) | 69.8% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.28% |
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