SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Lahti |
48.21% ( 1.37) | 24.79% ( 0.33) | 27% ( -1.7) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -2.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( -2.52) | 48.32% ( 2.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( -2.35) | 70.47% ( 2.35) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( -0.44) | 20.09% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.67% ( -0.71) | 52.33% ( 0.7) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.94% ( -2.57) | 32.06% ( 2.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.47% ( -3.03) | 68.53% ( 3.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.9) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.65)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.67% Total : 27% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
