Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
Result | ||
HJK Helsinki | Draw | Lahti |
48.21% (![]() | 24.79% (![]() | 27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.67% (![]() | 48.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.53% (![]() | 70.47% (![]() |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.91% (![]() | 20.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.67% (![]() | 52.33% (![]() |
Lahti Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.94% (![]() | 32.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.47% (![]() | 68.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
HJK Helsinki | Draw | Lahti |
1-0 @ 10.33% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.44% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 11.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.33% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 27% |
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