SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Lahti |
52.14% ( -0) | 24.18% ( -0.06) | 23.68% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.99% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( 0.3) | 48.49% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( 0.28) | 70.62% ( -0.28) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( 0.11) | 18.57% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.16% ( 0.19) | 49.84% ( -0.19) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% ( 0.22) | 34.92% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.34% ( 0.23) | 71.66% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.68% |
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