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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
30.94% ( 0.2) | 25.6% ( 0.08) | 43.46% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( -0.27) | 49.64% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( -0.24) | 71.66% ( 0.25) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0) | 29.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( -0) | 65.96% ( 0.01) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( -0.25) | 22.75% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.56% ( -0.37) | 56.44% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.94% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 43.46% |
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