SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
31.8% ( 0.76) | 26.22% ( 0.6) | 41.98% ( -1.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( -1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( -2.25) | 51.92% ( 2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( -1.98) | 73.67% ( 1.98) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( -0.61) | 30.43% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.37% ( -0.73) | 66.63% ( 0.74) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( -1.65) | 24.48% ( 1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.07% ( -2.38) | 58.94% ( 2.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.8% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.64)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.97% |
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