SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Inter Turku |
42.78% ( -0.66) | 25.03% ( 0.2) | 32.19% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -0.71) | 46.68% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.67) | 68.94% ( 0.67) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( -0.6) | 21.81% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% ( -0.92) | 55.02% ( 0.92) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.05) | 27.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( -0.07) | 63.1% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.19% |
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