SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Gnistan |
31.22% ( -0.23) | 25% ( 0.14) | 43.77% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% ( -0.72) | 46.94% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% ( -0.68) | 69.19% ( 0.68) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( -0.51) | 28.33% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% ( -0.64) | 64.06% ( 0.64) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( -0.27) | 21.46% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.51% ( -0.41) | 54.49% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Gnistan |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.22% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.77% |
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