Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
