Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.