Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.