SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | KuPS |
28.42% ( 0.1) | 26.14% ( -0.04) | 45.44% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( 0.21) | 52.99% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( 0.18) | 74.59% ( -0.17) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( 0.19) | 33.42% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( 0.21) | 70.05% ( -0.2) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.07) | 23.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% ( 0.1) | 57.18% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.42% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.43% |
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