SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Ilves |
31.08% ( -0.03) | 26.32% ( -0) | 42.59% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( 0.01) | 52.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( 0.01) | 74.22% ( -0.01) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( -0.01) | 31.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( -0.01) | 67.6% ( 0.02) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( 0.02) | 24.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( 0.03) | 58.9% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 2% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.08% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.59% |
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