SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 19 | 8 | 25 |
| 8 | Ilves | 19 | -4 | 23 |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 19 | 6 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | SJK | 19 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Haka | 19 | -5 | 28 |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 19 | 8 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Haka |
26.49% ( -0.06) | 24.97% ( -0.04) | 48.53% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% ( 0.13) | 49.46% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% ( 0.12) | 71.49% ( -0.12) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( 0.03) | 33.06% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( 0.03) | 69.65% ( -0.03) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( 0.1) | 20.41% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% ( 0.16) | 52.84% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.49% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.53% |
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