Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.

Result
Haka	Draw	Ilves
38.76%	27.83%	33.41%

Both teams to score 48.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.18%

57.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.45%

78.54%

Haka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02%

28.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13%

64.87%

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66%

32.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16%

68.84%

Score Analysis

Haka 38.75%

Ilves 33.4%

Draw 27.83%

Haka	Draw	Ilves
1-0 @ 11.6% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.68% Total : 38.75%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.37% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.83%	0-1 @ 10.57% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.4%