Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
