SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Haka had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Honka |
32.62% ( -0.78) | 26.87% ( -0.39) | 40.5% ( 1.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.71% ( 1.35) | 54.29% ( -1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% ( 1.11) | 75.68% ( -1.12) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( 0.16) | 31.07% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( 0.19) | 67.38% ( -0.19) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( 1.27) | 26.32% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% ( 1.67) | 61.46% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 3% Total : 32.62% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.5% |
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