SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KTP would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
47.4% ( -0.39) | 24.4% ( 0) | 28.19% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( 0.22) | 45.86% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% ( 0.21) | 68.17% ( -0.21) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( -0.07) | 19.44% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% ( -0.12) | 51.28% ( 0.12) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% ( 0.4) | 29.88% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.03% ( 0.48) | 65.97% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.4% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.19% |
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