Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for KTP had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
Ilves	Draw	KTP
40.04% ( -0.48)	24.47% ( 0.11)	35.5% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 59.55% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.72% (

-0.44)

43.28% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.32% (

-0.44)

65.68% (

0.44)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

-0.42)

21.65% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.21% (

-0.65)

54.78% (

0.65)

KTP Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76% (

0.01)

23.99% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.76% (

0.01)

58.24% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ilves 40.04%

KTP 35.5%

Draw 24.46%

Ilves	Draw	KTP
2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.04%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.5%