SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Oulu | 18 | -2 | 25 |
| 7 | SJK | 18 | -3 | 25 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 18 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Honka | 18 | 23 | 37 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 18 | 10 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for SJK had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest SJK win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | KuPS |
34.16% ( -0.22) | 24.85% ( 0.16) | 40.99% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.69% ( -0.78) | 45.31% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% ( -0.75) | 67.65% ( 0.75) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( -0.5) | 25.71% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( -0.68) | 60.63% ( 0.68) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.31) | 22.07% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( -0.46) | 55.42% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | KuPS |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.16% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.99% |
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