Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Haka had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
Haka	Draw	HJK Helsinki
29.5% ( 0.02)	25.36% ( -0.06)	45.14% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.2% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.74% (

0.26)

49.26% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.69% (

0.23)

71.32% (

-0.23)

Haka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

0.15)

30.68% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07% (

0.17)

66.93% (

-0.17)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19% (

0.13)

21.81% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.98% (

0.2)

55.03% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Haka 29.5%

HJK Helsinki 45.14%

Draw 25.36%

Haka	Draw	HJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.5%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.14%