SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 18 | 10 | 37 |
| 4 | Haka | 18 | -2 | 28 |
| 5 | SJK | 19 | -2 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Honka | 18 | 23 | 37 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 18 | 10 | 37 |
| 4 | Haka | 18 | -2 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Haka had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
29.5% ( 0.02) | 25.36% ( -0.06) | 45.14% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% ( 0.26) | 49.26% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( 0.23) | 71.32% ( -0.23) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( 0.15) | 30.68% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% ( 0.17) | 66.93% ( -0.17) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( 0.13) | 21.81% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.98% ( 0.2) | 55.03% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.5% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.14% |
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