SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Oulu | 20 | -1 | 29 |
| 6 | SJK | 20 | -3 | 28 |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 20 | 7 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ilves | 20 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 20 | 6 | 22 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 20 | -9 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 37.98% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.09%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
39.02% ( -1.81) | 23.01% ( -1.02) | 37.98% ( 2.84) |
| Both teams to score 65.35% ( 4.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.16% ( 5.43) | 35.85% ( -5.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.07% ( 5.74) | 57.93% ( -5.73) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% ( 1.49) | 18.92% ( -1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.57% ( 2.43) | 50.43% ( -2.42) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.61% ( 3.87) | 19.4% ( -3.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% ( 5.98) | 51.21% ( -5.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.4) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -1.43)2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.91)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.55% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.98) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.47)0-0 @ 3.67% ( -1.08)3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.43)Other @ 0.4% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.91)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.59)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.64)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.42)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.4)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.21)Other @ 3.39% Total : 37.98% |
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