SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Honka | 20 | 26 | 41 |
| 4 | Haka | 20 | -4 | 31 |
| 5 | Oulu | 20 | -1 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 20 | 14 | 43 |
| 3 | Honka | 20 | 26 | 41 |
| 4 | Haka | 20 | -4 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Haka had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Haka win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Honka |
23.86% ( 0.77) | 24.36% ( 0.15) | 51.78% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( 0.12) | 49.09% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( 0.11) | 71.17% ( -0.11) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( 0.76) | 35.09% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.16% ( 0.79) | 71.84% ( -0.79) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( -0.31) | 18.94% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.54% ( -0.52) | 50.46% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.04% Total : 23.86% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 51.77% |
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