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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
15.07% ( 0.03) | 19.47% ( 0.04) | 65.46% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% ( -0.13) | 40.47% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( -0.13) | 62.85% ( 0.13) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.46% ( -0.04) | 39.54% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.77% ( -0.04) | 76.23% ( 0.04) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.42% ( -0.05) | 11.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.46% ( -0.12) | 36.55% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 2-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.07% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.47% | 0-2 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 7.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.89% Total : 65.46% |
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