Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HIFK Fotboll win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HIFK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.