SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lahti | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 9 | -9 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lahti | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 9 | -9 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HIFK Fotboll win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HIFK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 46.92% | 25.63% | 27.45% |
| Both teams to score 52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% | 73.3% |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% | 21.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.77% | 55.23% |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% | 33.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% | 70.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.33% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.45% |
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