SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 20 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 | Lahti | 20 | -23 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Oulu | 20 | -1 | 29 |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 20 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | Ilves | 21 | -5 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Inter Turku |
28.9% ( 0.11) | 23.78% ( 0.03) | 47.32% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.07) | 42.61% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.07) | 65.02% ( 0.07) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% ( 0.04) | 27.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% ( 0.05) | 63.28% ( -0.05) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( -0.08) | 18.2% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.8% ( -0.14) | 49.2% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.9% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 47.32% |
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