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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Oulu |
48.86% ( -0.02) | 23.6% ( 0.01) | 27.54% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.32% ( -0.02) | 42.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.92% ( -0.02) | 65.08% ( 0.02) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( -0.01) | 17.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.79% ( -0.03) | 48.21% ( 0.03) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 0) | 28.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( 0) | 64.54% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 3.79% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 27.54% |
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