SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lahti | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 9 | -9 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Haka | 10 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | SJK | 10 | -8 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
18.6% ( 0.35) | 22.53% ( 0.14) | 58.87% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.3% ( -0.04) | 47.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.11% ( -0.04) | 69.89% ( 0.04) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.44% ( 0.38) | 39.56% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( 0.34) | 76.25% ( -0.34) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% ( -0.18) | 15.86% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.93% ( -0.33) | 45.07% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 18.6% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 10.63% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.53% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.86% |
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