Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
