SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 10 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 9 | 7 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Haka | 10 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | SJK | 10 | -8 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 53.13% | 24.21% | 22.66% |
| Both teams to score 51.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% | 49.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% | 71.65% |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% | 18.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.07% | 49.92% |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% | 36.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% | 73.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.12% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.66% |
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