SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lahti | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 9 | -9 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 10 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 9 | 7 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for HIFK Fotboll had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a HIFK Fotboll win it was 1-0 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for KuPS in this match.
| Result | ||
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | KuPS |
14.58% ( 0.06) | 21.08% ( -0.81) | 64.33% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 46.94% ( 2.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.48% ( 3.35) | 48.52% ( -3.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( 2.98) | 70.64% ( -2.98) |
| HIFK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.82% ( 2.14) | 45.18% ( -2.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.92% ( 1.65) | 81.07% ( -1.65) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.63% ( 1.35) | 14.37% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.75% ( 2.55) | 42.24% ( -2.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| HIFK Fotboll | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.32% Total : 14.58% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.95)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 12.59% ( -1.17) 0-2 @ 12.21% ( -0.52)1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 7.9% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.4)0-4 @ 3.83% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.3)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.19)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.39% Total : 64.32% |
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