SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lahti | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 9 | -9 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Haka | 10 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | SJK | 10 | -8 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
33.19% ( 0.17) | 25.35% ( 0.03) | 41.46% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( -0.1) | 47.81% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( -0.09) | 69.99% ( 0.09) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( 0.05) | 27.49% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% ( 0.07) | 62.99% ( -0.08) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -0.14) | 22.93% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( -0.21) | 56.7% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.46% |
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