SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Inter Turku | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Ilves | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Haka | 10 | -6 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Haka | 10 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | SJK | 10 | -8 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Ilves win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 33.65% | 24.58% | 41.77% |
| Both teams to score 58.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.81% | 44.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.43% | 66.57% |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% | 25.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.69% | 60.31% |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% | 21.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% | 54.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 7.84% 1-0 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.65% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.77% |
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