Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.